For some time now, I’ve been playing with the hypothesis that we may be in some stage of a revolution in print publishing that could be equivalent to the desktop publishing revolution 20 years ago.
Clearly there is an acceleration of demand for content on the Internet that is in the process of reshaping the media world – including the dramatically growing popularity of blogging, podcasting, and so on, along with the increasing demand for online versions of traditional print content such as magazines, newspapers, reference materials, textbooks, and so on. What does this mean for print content? It seems safe to say that it is in the process of slowly weakening its value.
But meanwhile, in some places competition has taken print content to the edge of the possible – a trend that tends to increase its value. School textbooks in the US, for example, have become tremendously appealing visually, and the trend toward state and district level customization is also working to increase its value. Furthermore, print manufacturing technology continues to meet these demands: note the foil holograms on some covers these days, as well as new manufacturing technologies like Xerox’s iGen3 – which can help improve the cost effectiveness of manufacturing and distribution of short run customized print. But does this occasional trend toward increasing the value of print content offset the weakening trend of the Internet technologies? Or is it simply the logical conclusion and swan song of the desktop publishing revolution?
As new generations of internet users grow up, the digital natives now in our colleges, and internet technologies proliferate, it seems hard to imagine that print will retain its edge in the end.
Current best practices for simultaneous print and web publishing are for print to be developed first and then pushed to the web through the use of XML. This reflects today’s valuing of print content as being greater than web content. It now seems more and more likely that within a few years we may see a long-time industry prediction come true: the development of web content first, that is then pushed to print. The point where this happens may be when a majority of publishing customers find more value in online content than print content. An article in the January 21, 2006 edition of the Economist suggests that investors may also be seeing this trend, as big media company stock has been in decline even with solid earnings. (Note also in this edition of the Economist some very interesting articles on management of knowledge workers).
This slow transition is a challenging time for print publishers of any kind. While the changes to business models are difficult, there are also plenty of challenges within print editorial and production. For forward thinking print development groups, it may be wise to begin transforming their practices and cultures now. Developers of composition tools, such as Adobe and Quark will need to accelerate their work in supporting XML and other technologies, such as workflow management systems, will need to mature more quickly in order to help publishers effectively manage costs during print’s slow decline.
Customization in some segments has the effect of increasing the overall content production effort to reach the same audience. Aside from the obvious cost pressure to increase composition staff (managed in many cases by moving production offshore), customization puts additional pressure on production management resources – whether retained or outsourced along with composition. Management of page composition using long established practices and tools can break down with the additional stress of growing customization, which adds further cost pressures. It is clear that composition-related tools (and staff) need to be increasingly savvy in process management to succeed with the complexities of print customization.
So does this mean that the freewheeling, page-is-king days of desktop publishing are being replaced by continual improvement process exercises and cost conscious days of a post desktop publishing era? Is this a revolution in the works? Whether revolution is the right word or not, change does seem to be either happening or on the horizon.
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